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2014 Connector Industry Forecast

Bishop and Associates, Date of Publication: Jul 16, 2014


 

US$3,500.00

BAF2012

2014 Connector Industry Forecast provides an in-depth, and detailed forecast of the worldwide connector industry.

In addition to the detailed forecasts for each region of the world (North America, Europe, Japan, China, Asia Pacific, and ROW), an industry overview is included which provides current market trends, industry book-to-bill ratios, and outlook narrative.

The worldwide and regional forecasts include:

Computers & Peripherals

Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment

Retail/POS Equipment

Imaging Systems
Other Business/Office Equipment
Instrumentation

Automatic Test Equipment

Analytical/Scientific Instruments
Other Instrumentation
Medical Equipment

Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment

Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial

Heavy Equipment

Industrial Auto & Process Control
Building & Civil Engineering
Energy Markets
Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
Other Equipment
Automotive

Body Wiring & Power Distribution

Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation
Safety & Security
Transportation (non-auto)

Commercial Vehicles

RV's & Power Sports
Rail
A., M., Construction, and Farm and Garden
Military/Aerospace

Telecom/Datacom

Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Other Telecommunications
Consumer

Personal/Portable Consumer

Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment



Historical Sales Performance

Since 1980 the connector industry has experienced four growth business cycles, meaning consecutive years of increases in year-over-year sales. The average growth business cycle in the connector industry is five years. The longest (years without a decline in sales) is eight years (1993-2000).

The downturn of 2011/2012 has somewhat broken the industry mold. The period of growth lasted only 23 months before sales began declining in 4Q11. The downturn, which was over in October 2012, lasted only 12 months. The decline was only -2.7% which is the smallest measured since 1992.

Since 1980, we have achieved twenty-eight years of sales increases and six years of sales declines. The average growth cycle lasts five years, with two years being the shortest growth cycle, and eight years the longest. The industry's thirty-three year compound annual growth (CAGR) is +5.7%. Only once in thirty-three years has the industry had two consecutive years of sales declines (2001-2002).

In the three industry declines prior to 2001, the years of growth in between the downturns was four, six, and eight years. From the end of the 2001/2 downturn to the beginning of the 2008/9 downturn was 75 months (6.3 years). From the end of the 2008/9 downturn to the beginning of the 2011/12 downturn was 23 months (1.9 years). The decreasing cycle rate may be the result of the increasing inter-dependencies of the world's economies and our 24/7 processing of news of all types.

Historically we are at the beginning of a fifth growth business cycle that will last another five years on average. Although nothing is certain, it is likely that the next downturn is three or more years down the road, given no unforeseen regional or worldwide calamities. The economies of the world and their governments have gone (and are going) through a major fiscal correction, which should lead to relatively stable times where the growth rates will, in all likelihood, be more modest than they have been after past industry downturns.

Year-over-year sales growth in the next five years is expected to hit a high in 2019, with growth forecast at +7.5%.

2014 Outlook

We are forecasting 2014 sales to grow +8.3% to $52,929.7 million. This projected high single digit growth is in line with GDP growth projections by the IMF for the various regions of the world.  World sales are up +9.5% through May. Bishop's forecast +8.3% sales growth for full year 2014 indicates sales demand will soften modestly between now and year end.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1 - 2014 Off to a Good Start
Overview
Industrial Sales Performance - May 2014
Semiconductor versus Connector Sales
Connector Confidence Index
2014 Industry Profitability
Historical Sales Performance
Historical Percentage Change in Demand
2014 Outlook
Five-Year Outlook
Market Outlook and Comments
Computers-Peripherals Sector
The Market
Servers Facing Multiple Paradigms
Focus on Mobile - The iPAD
Notebook Connector Content
Trends
2014 World Computer and Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Business/Office Equipment Sector
Introduction
Mass-Merchant Office Equipment Products
Detailed List of Office Equipment - Potential Types of Connectors
Market Diversity
Key Points in This Market
Connector Applications
Some Current and Past Developments
Future
Apple, Xerox, Kodak, IIBM, Sun Microsystems, Microsoft, Intel, et al
2014 World Business/Office Equipment Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Instrumentation Sector
Global Market Conditions
Market and Technology Trends
ATE/Semiconductor Test
Analytical and Scientific Instruments
Other Instruments
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia Pacific
ROW
2014 World Instrumentation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Medical Equipment Sector
Global Market Conditions
Diagnostic and Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Market and Technology Trends
Digital Health
Telehealth and "mHealth"
Miniaturization
Prosthetics
Nanotechnology and Biomedical Electronics
Emerging Markets
Medical Market Outlook
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia Pacific
ROW
2014 World Medical Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Industrial Equipment Sector
Market Definitions
Main Market Segments
Detailed Market Segments
World View
YoY Industrial Production Growth by Region 2010 - 2013
Industrial Production by Region 2013 - 2014
World Industrial Production 3 Months Average over Previous 3 Months 2006 - 2014
World Industrial Production 3 Months Average over Same 3 Months Previous Year 2010 - 2014
World Industrial Production 3 Months Average over Preceding 3 Months 2010 - 2014
GDP Growth and Forecast by Country-Region 2013-2018F
Industrial Sales by Leading Connector Manufacturers
Industrial Sales Leading Connector Manufacturers 1Q2014
Regional View
North America
US Industrial Production Growth % Year over Year 2011 - 2014
Europe
Euro Zone Industrial Production Growth % Year over Year 2011 - 2014
Industrial Market for Connectors by Region - 2011 - 2014E
Machine Tools Production and Order Intake Year-on-Year - Germany 2009 - 2014F
Japan
Monthly Machine Tools Orders Japan 2012-2014 - Sequential
Japanese Industrial Production Growth % Year-over-Year 2011 - 2014
China
Industrial Market for Connectors by Region 2019
Chinese Industrial Production Growth % Year-over-Year 2011 - 2014
Asia Pacific
GDP Growth and Forecast India 2011 - 2018F
ROW
Russian Industrial Production Growth % Year-Over-Year 2009-2013
Russian Industrial Production Growth % Month-on-Month 2010-2014
Brazilian Industrial Production Growth % Month-on-Month 2010-2014
Industrial Market for Connectors - Market Outlook 2013-2019
2013 World Industrial Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Automotive Sector
Global View
Automotive Segment and Regional Analysis
2013 World Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Transportation - Non Automotive Sector
Non-Automotive Global View
Transportation Segment and Regional Analysis
2014 World Transportation - Non Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Military/Aerospace Sector
Global Market Conditions
Market Outlook
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia-Pacific
ROW
2013 World Military/Aerospace Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Telecom Equipment Sector
World View
Telecom/Datacom Connector Sales 2014 - 2019E
Global Digital Data
The Mobile Network
Total Mobile & Wireless Connector Sales 2014 - 2019E
Data Centers
Summary of the Telecom Connector Market
Technology and Market Trends
Telecom/Datacom Connector Sales by Equipment Category 2013 to 2018E Comparison
Regional View
Telecom/Datacom Connector Sales by Region of the World 2013 to 2018E Comparison
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia Pacific
ROW
2013 World Telecom/Datacom Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Consumer Electronics Sector
Market Performance
Insourcing of CE Products
CE Industry Review
Summary
What is the Next Blockbuster Product?
2013 World Consumer Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Chapter 2 - World Connector Forecast


World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
World Connector Market Forecast by Region
Year-to-Year Change by Region
Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
2013-2014 Percent Change and 2014-2019 Five-Year CAGR
2014 and 2019 Market Share by Equipment Sector
World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
Computers & Peripherals
Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment
Retail/POS Equipment
Imaging Systems
Other Office Equipment
Instrumentation
Automatic Test Equipment
Analytical & Scientific Instruments
Other Instruments
Medical
Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial
Heavy Equipment
Industrial Automation & Process Control
Building & Civil Engineering
Energy Markets
Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
Other Equipment
Automotive
Body Wiring & Power Distribution
Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation
Safety & Security
Transportation
Commercial Vehicles
RV's & Power Sports
Commercial Air
Marine
Rail
Construction
Farm & Garden
Military
Telecom/Datacom
Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Mobile & Wireless
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
Other Telecommunications
Consumer
Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment
World End-Use Equipment Forecast by Region
Computers & Peripherals
Business/Retail/Education Equipment
Instrumentation Equipment
Medical Equipment
Industrial Equipment
Automotive
Transportation Equipment
Military/Aerospace Equipment
Telecom/Datacom/ Equipment
Consumer Equipment
Other Equipment

Chapter 3 - North American Connector Forecast

North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
2013-2014 Percent Change and 2014-2019 Five-Year CAGR
2014 and 2019 Market Share by Equipment Sector
North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
Computers & Peripherals
Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment
Retail/POS Equipment
Imaging Systems
Other Office Equipment
Instrumentation
Automatic Test Equipment
Analytical & Scientific Instruments
Other Instruments
Medical
Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial
Heavy Equipment
Industrial Automation & Process Control
Building & Civil Engineering
Energy Markets
Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
Other Equipment
Automotive
Body Wiring & Power Distribution
Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation
Safety & Security
Transportation
Commercial Vehicles
RV's & Power Sports
Commercial Air
Marine
Rail
Construction
Farm & Garden
Military
Telecom/Datacom
Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Mobile & Wireless
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
Other Telecommunications
Consumer
Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment
Industrial Equipment
Automotive
Transportation Equipment
Military/Aerospace Equipment
Telecom/Datacom Equipment
Consumer Equipment
Other Equipment

Chapters 4 Thru 8 Provide The Same Detail Level as Chapter 3

Chapter 4 - European Connector Forecast

Chapter 5 - Japanese Connector Forecast

Chapter 6 - Chinese Connector Forecast

Chapter 7 - Asia Pacific Connector Forecast

Chapter 8 - ROW Connector Forecast

 

Jul 16, 2014
Print Copy and CD-ROM

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