Canadian Telecom Services 2013–2017 Forecast: Telecom Inside Out

Canadian Telecom Services Forecast, 2017-2021: Telecom Inside Out

IDC, Date of Publication: May 18, 2017, 65 Pages
US$4,500.00
IDC-CA41246217

This study presents IDC Canada's five-year forecasts for communications services spending by customer segment, company size, industry sector, and region for 2016–2021 based on the annual update of IDC Canada's custom Communications Market Model.

Readers should note the adjustments made in this study and rely on this forecast for 2017 planning purposes. This study addresses the following questions:

  • How does current and projected spending on Canadian telecom services differ by:

  • Market segment?

  • Customer segment?

  • Company size?

  • Region?

  • Industry vertical sector?

  • Which industry sectors, customer segments, company size, and regional segments of the Canadian communications services market are poised for growth, and which are the best opportunities for communication service providers (CSPs) over the new five-year forecast period?

CSPs continue to face twin challenges of market erosion by new and established entrants in their core markets, coupled with stalled penetration in wireless. The advent and adoption of lower cost technological substitutes such as SIP trunks and new software-defined wide area network (SD WAN) data service further exacerbates revenue erosion in key segments.

CSPs can seize new opportunities in the IT services and video markets, but disruptive technologies such as SIP trunks, 'over the top' (OTT) service delivery in both consumer and enterprise markets, and global transformation of ICT platforms are spawning new competitors while changing the economics of service delivery. The challenge of maintaining continued growth underscores the necessity for Canadian CSPs to invest in next-generation platforms and architectures to reinvent their networks.

Canadian Telecom Services Forecast, 2017-2021: Telecom Inside Out
TABLE OF CONTENTS

List of Attachments
IDC Market Forecast Figure
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue Snapshot
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Market Forecast
Canadian Telecom Services Market in 2016
Comparison of Year-End Results with Previous IDC Forecast
Table: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Segment, 2016: Comparison of Actual Results and September 2016 Forecasts (C$M)
Telecom Service Market Segment Trends
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue Share Including and Excluding Wholesale by Segment, 2016 (% Contribution)
Wireless Key to Competitive Position
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Market Wireless Versus Wireline, 2006–2016
Video Segment Faces New Pressures
Figure: Canadian Telecom and Video Services Revenue, 2005–2016 (C$M)
Business TV Revenue Growing But Not a Panacea
Telecom Service Customer Segment Trends
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue Share by Customer Segment, 2016 (% Contribution)
Industry Sector Trends
Figure: Canadian Business Telecom Services Revenue Share by Industry Vertical, 2016 (% Contribution)
Regional Trends
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue Share by Region Excluding Wholesale, 2016 (% Contribution)
Telecom Service Sector Forecast, 2017-2021
Table: Canadian Communication Services Including Wholesale by Segment, 2016-2021 (C$M)
Figure: Canadian Telecom and Video Services Revenue, 2016–2021
Table: Canadian Telecom Services Excluding Wholesale by Segment, 2016-2021 (C$M)
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Segment Excluding Video, 2016–2021
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Segment Including Video, 2016–2021
Local Wireline
Circuit Switch Decline
Table: Canadian Telecom Wireline Local Services, 2016–2021 (C$M)
VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
Figure: Canadian Wireline Local Access Line Connections Forecast, 2016-2021
SIP and UCCaaS
Table: Canadian SIP Trunk Sessions by Business Size, 2016-2021 (000)
Long Distance
Data
Table: Canadian Telecom Data WAN Communications by Submarket, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Cloud Computing and Datacentres
Internet
Wireless
Table: Canadian Consumer and Business Wireless Subscriber Forecast, 2016-2021 (000)
Table: Canadian Telecom Wireless Services Including Wireless Data by Endpoint, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Customer Segment Forecast
Table: Canadian Telecom Services by Customer Segment, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Customer Segment, 2016–2021
Consumer (Home) Segment
Wholesale
Business Market
Table: Canadian Business Telecom Services Market Excluding Wholesale by Market Segment, 2016-2021 (C$M)
Table: Canadian Business Telecom Services by Company Size, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Industry Sector Forecast
Figure: Canadian Business Telecom Services Revenue by Industry Vertical Sector, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Table: Canadian Telecom Services Business Market by Industry Vertical Sector, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Regional Forecast
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Region Excluding Wholesale, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Table: Canadian Telecom Services by Region Excluding Wholesale, 2016–2021 (C$M)
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Wireline Voice Service
Drivers
Bundles
Inhibitors
Millennial Demographics and Mobile Workforce
Mobile Substitution
SIP Trunks
Internet and Video
Drivers
Fibre-Optic Rollouts Accelerate
Gigabit Internet and Increasing Data Needs
Inhibitors
Wireless Internet Substitution and 5G Wireless
Over-the-Top Video
Regulatory Environment
Wireless Service
Drivers
Substitution Gains Traction
5G Wireless Broadband With SDN
Inhibitors
Wireless Voice Declines Continue to Pressure ARPU
Figure: Comparison of Canadian Wireless Provider ARPU, 1995–2016
Slower Wireless Subscriber Growth
WiFi and Integrated Mobile Broadband
Data (WAN) Services
Drivers
Network Convergence
Fibre-Optic Wavelength Network Proliferation
Inhibitors
SD WAN Looming to Cannibalize MPLS IP VPN Revenue
Interoperability
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Table: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue, 2012–2021: Comparison of May 2016 and May 2017 Forecasts (C$M)
Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue Growth, 2012-2021 (Including Wholesale): Comparison of May 2016 and May 2017 Forecasts
Market Definition
Telecom Taxonomy and Service Definitions
Figure: Canadian Telecom Market Taxonomy and Key Players
Local TDM and Wireline
VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
SIP Trunk
Long Distance
Wireless
Wireless Data Segmentation
Wireless Wholesale
Internet
Data
Video Services
Figure: Over-the-Top Paid Video Services Market Landscape
Industry Sector Definitions
Table: IDC Canada Vertical Map
Financial Services
Manufacturing
Retail/Wholesale
Public Sector
Utilities
Communications and Media
Services
Other Industries
Home
Telecommunications Wholesale
Company Size Definitions
Region Definitions
Other Definitions
Methodology
SIP Trunk Forecast
Note on SIP Terms
Difficulty Reconciling Forecasts with CRTC Market Data
Related Research
Supplementary References

Date of Publication:
May 18, 2017
File Format:
PDF via E-mail
Number of Pages:
65 Pages