Canadian Telecom Services 2013–2017 Forecast: Telecom Inside Out

Canadian Telecom Services 2015–2019 Forecast: Telecom Inside Out

IDC, Date of Publication: May 27, 2015, 74 Pages
US$4,500.00
IDC-CA6TM15

This study, based on IDC Canada's custom Communications Market Model, presents our updated five-year telecom services forecast as well as summary-segmented forecasts by customer segment, company size, industry sector, and region. It is an essential document for any player in the Canadian telecom services market.

IDC expects the Canadian telecom services market to generate revenue of C$45.5 billion (including wholesale) in 2015 and have only a 1.8 per cent CAGR over the next five years.

"CSPs must urgently make the transition to becoming the service providers of the future to face the twin challenges of market erosion by telecom and cable players in each other's core markets coupled with lower-than-expected growth and stalled penetration in wireless," says document coauthor Lawrence Surtees, vice president and principal analyst in the Communications Practice at IDC Canada Ltd. "New opportunities may be had in IT services and video markets, but disruptive technologies such as SIP trunks and global transformation of ICT platforms are spawning new competitors while changing the economics of service delivery."


TABLE OF CONTENTS

In This Study

Methodology

Executive Summary

Canadian Telecom Spending: 2014 in Review

Canadian Telecom Spending: 2015 and Beyond

Situation Overview

Canadian Telecom Services Market in 2014

Comparison of Year-End Results with Previous IDC Forecast

Table: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue by Segment, 2014: Comparison of Actual Results and September 2014 Forecasts

Telecom Service Market Segment Trends

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Including and Excluding Wholesale by Segment, 2014 (% Contribution)

Wireless Underperforms

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Wireless Versus Wireline Revenue, 2005–2014

Wireless ARPU Up Slightly

Figure: Comparison of Canadian Wireless Provider ARPU, 1995-2014

Impact of Video

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services and Video Markets, 2005-2014

Telecom Service Customer Segment Trends

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Customer Segment, 2014 (% Contribution)

Industry Sector Trends

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Customer and Business Vertical, 2014 (% Contribution)

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Industry Vertical, 2014 (% Contribution)

Regional Trends

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Excluding Wholesale by Region, 2014 (% Contribution)

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Impact of Declining Oil Prices on Telecom

Table: Top 3 Assumptions for the Canadian Telecom Services Market, 2015–2019

Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Canadian Telecom Services Market, 2015–2019

Telecom Service Sector Forecast

Table: Canadian Telecom Services Including Wholesale by Segment, 2014-2019 (C$M)

Table: Canadian Telecom Services Excluding Wholesale by Segment, 2014-2019 (C$M)

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Market Segment, 2014–2019

Local Wireline

Circuit Switch Decline

Table: Canadian Telecom Local Services by Subsegment, 2014–2019 (C$M)

VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk

Table: Canadian SIP Trunk Session by Company Size, 2013-2019 (000)

Long Distance

Data

Table: Canadian Telecom Data WAN Communications by Submarket, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Cloud Computing and Datacentres

Internet

Wireless

Table: Canadian Consumer and Business Wireless Subscribers, 2014-2019 (000)

Table: Canadian Telecom Wireless Services, Including Wireless Data by Endpoint, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Customer Segment Forecast

Table: Canadian Telecom Services by Customer Segment, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Customer Segment, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Consumer (Home) Segment

Wholesale

Business Market

Table: Canadian Business Telecom Services Excluding Wholesale by Market Segment, 2014-2019 (C$M)

Table: Canadian Business Telecom Services by Company Size, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Industry Sector Forecast

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Business by Industry Vertical Sector, 2014-2019 (C$M)

Table: Canadian Telecom Services Business by Industry Vertical Sector, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Regional Forecast

Table: Canadian Telecom Services by Region, Excluding Wholesale, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services by Region, Excluding Wholesale, 2014–2019 (C$M)

Market Context

Table: Canadian Telecom Services Revenue, 2010–2019: Comparison of May 2014 and May 2015 Forecasts (C$M)

Figure: Canadian Telecommunications Services Revenue Growth (Including Wholesale), 2010–2019: Comparison of May 2014 and May 2015 Forecasts

Figure: Canadian Telecommunications Services Annual Revenue Growth, 2011-2019: Comparison of May 2014 and May 2015 Forecasts

Essential Guidance

Assessing the Telecom Services Market Opportunity

Opportunity by Service

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Opportunity Assessment by Service Including VoIP, 2014–2019

Opportunity by Customer Segment

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Opportunity Assessment by Customer Segment, 2014–2019

Opportunity by Region

Figure: Canadian Telecom Services Opportunity Assessment by Region, 2014–2019

Actions to Consider

Advice for All Integrated Service Providers

Advice for Other Vendors

Learn More

Related Research

Glossary and Definitions

Telecom Taxonomy and Service Definitions

Local TDM and Wireline

VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk

Long Distance

Wireless

Wireless Data Segmentation

Wireless Wholesale

Internet

Data

Industry Sector Definitions

Table: IDC Canada Vertical Map

Financial Services

Manufacturing

Retail/Wholesale

Public Sector

Utilities

Communications and Media

Services

Other Industries

Home

Telecommunications Wholesale

Company Size Definitions

Region Definitions

Methodology

SIP Trunk Forecast

Note on SIP Terms

Difficulty Reconciling Forecasts with CRTC Market Data

Synopsis

Date of Publication:
May 27, 2015
File Format:
PDF via E-mail
Number of Pages:
74 Pages
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