Global PV Pricing Outlook

Global PV Pricing Outlook

GTM, Date of Publication: Mar 25, 2015
US$1,995.00
GTM3854

Driven by the emergence of a strong set of regionally diverse country markets in the last two years, the global PV supply chain overcame the stress of overcapacity, now benefiting from a healthy supply-demand market. Though supply-demand stability and input cost reduction are expected to continue in 2015, the continually evolving regional tariff landscape will pose price risks.

Which end-markets and value chain segments are likely to see the largest price changes in 2015? Will we continue to see significant regional variation in module selling prices? And what is the outlook for pricing in 2016 and beyond? Packed with data points, color, and insight on key trends and drivers, this report provides up-to-the-minute guidance on near and long-term pricing dynamics across the PV value chain, from polysilicon to modules.

This slide deck-based report contains:

  • Near-term and long-term pricing outlook and scenario-based forecasting for PV polysilicon, wafers, cells and modules through 2018
  • Current prices by technology in the polysilicon, wafer, cell and module markets
  • Regional module pricing for key markets, including the U.S., Japan, China, the EU, India and Latin America
  • Commentary on pricing levels for individual suppliers, product and technology trends
  • Comprehensive dataset of historical and forecasted pricing in Excel format
  • Detailed analysis of key pricing drivers, including current changes in supply-demand balance, supplier costs and geopolitical factors

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Executive Summary

  • 2014 in Review
  • Outlook on 2015

2. Solar PV Price Market Basics

3. Polysilicon

  • Quarterly Spot and Industry Pricing
  • Spot Price Trends
  • Supplier ASPs
  • FBR Pricing
  • 2015 Polysilicon Market Drivers
  • Near-Term Price Forecast
  • Near-Term Price Forecast Risks
  • Long-Term Price Forecast

4. Wafer

  • Quarterly Spot and Industry Pricing
  • Spot Price Trends
  • 2015 Wafer Market Drivers
  • Near-Term Price Forecast
  • Near-Term Price Forecast Risks
  • Long-Term Price Forecast

5. Crystalline Silicon Cell

  • Quarterly Spot and Industry Pricing
  • Spot Price Trends
  • 2015 Cell Market Drivers
  • Near-Term Price Forecast
  • Near-Term Price Forecast Risks
  • Long-Term Price Forecast

6. Module

  • Quarterly Spot and Industry Pricing
  • Spot Price Trends
  • Current Regional Module Prices
  • Current Regional Price Levels: U.S.
  • Module Supplier ASPs
  • 2015 Global Module Price Drivers
  • Near-Term Regional Module Price Forecast
  • Near-Term Global Module Price Forecast
  • Near-Term Global Module Price Forecast Risk
  • Long-Term Global Module Price Forecast

List of Figures

2014 in Review
Outlook on 2015
Final PV Price Buildup
Blended Internal Manufacturing Cost Leaders
Blended Internal Costs vs. Blended ASPs
Supply-Demand Reconciliation, 2010-2014
Excess Module Capacity, 2010-2015E
Annual Global PV Installations (Demand), 2010-2014
China Installation Demand vs. Regional Module Price: H1 2013 - H2 2014
Year-Over-year Trend in Q4 Regional Module Price
EUR Average Bid Price in USD, Q3 2013-Q4 2014
2014 Polysilicon Prices
Polysilicon Spot Price: Chinese Domestic vs. Globally Blended, Q4 2013-Q4 2014
Polysilicon Selling Prices: FBR vs. Siemens, Q4 2013-Q4 2014
Quarterly Polysilicon Selling Price by Firm, Q3 2013-Q3 2014
2015 Polysilicon Landscape
Near-Term Polysilicon Price Forecast
2015 Polysilicon Price Risk
Long-Term Polysilicon Price Outlook
2014 Wafer Prices
2014 Multi Wafer Spot Prices Q4 2013-Q4 2014
2015 Wafer Landscape
Near-Term Wafer Price Outlook
2015 Wafer Price Risk
Long-Term Wafer Price Outlook
2014 Cell Prices
2014 Multi Cell Spot Prices by Producer Region, Q4 2013-Q4 2014
2015 Cell Landscape
Near-Term Cell Price Outlook
2015 Cell Price Risk
Long-Term Cell Price Outlook
2014 Module Prices
2014 Global Module Spot Price, Q4 2013-Q4 2014
2014 Supplier ASPs
Regional Price Variation, China T1 Module, Q4 2014
Delivered Price, T1 Chinese Supplier Q4 2015
2015 Module Landscape
Near-Term Module Price Outlook
2015 Global Module Price Risk
Near-Term Regional Module Price Outlook
Long-Term Global Module Price Forecast

 

Date of Publication:
Mar 25, 2015
File Format:
PDF
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